Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 9.026092 10.297563 11.689556 13.327520 15.203473 17.286411 19.776782
2026-01-11 7.476759 9.184715 11.200328 13.758160 16.923382 20.719291 25.628714
2026-01-18 6.250676 8.089418 10.377488 13.440886 17.446552 22.522348 29.468399
2026-01-25 5.409084 7.305954 9.771344 13.221159 17.942351 24.204242 33.185554
2026-02-01 4.763799 6.676728 9.258482 13.012382 18.357615 25.735394 36.761605
2026-02-08 4.242008 6.144650 8.800360 12.796633 18.693061 27.128369 40.211304
2026-02-15 3.809802 5.686498 8.387423 12.581027 18.973148 28.422508 43.585862
2026-02-22 3.641005 5.591036 8.480143 13.101408 20.366845 31.448473 49.819501
2026-03-01 3.414755 5.382942 8.378253 13.303321 21.272073 33.785096 55.167977
2026-03-08 3.157817 5.100868 8.132743 13.247829 21.749244 35.467061 59.585367
2026-03-15 2.919928 4.826379 7.872120 13.137091 22.112909 36.974928 63.821057
2026-03-22 2.816549 4.761545 7.941472 13.571164 23.411553 40.124344 71.129375
2026-03-29 2.692457 4.653981 7.934871 13.881966 24.537452 43.096170 78.449736
2026-04-05 2.600463 4.593133 8.000902 14.321738 25.923688 46.634728 87.125533
2026-04-12 2.391321 4.308162 7.653621 13.991366 25.885563 47.605293 91.096748
2026-04-19 2.218406 4.073828 7.376434 13.762335 26.007796 48.866812 95.717750
2026-04-26 2.063414 3.859694 7.118259 13.544733 26.127248 50.121471 100.421852
2026-05-03 1.921459 3.658612 6.868127 13.319868 26.208847 51.300155 105.065026
2026-05-10 1.791954 3.471133 6.628934 13.095159 26.267761 52.430169 109.696315
2026-05-17 1.766719 3.483733 6.772515 13.637521 27.909349 56.852469 121.627312
2026-05-24 1.703399 3.415870 6.753392 13.847971 28.883688 59.985655 131.076354
2026-05-31 1.614798 3.290326 6.610133 13.790132 29.288254 61.957304 138.148993
2026-06-07 1.526695 3.159266 6.446020 13.674712 29.557905 63.658092 144.761365